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The Hidden Power Combo: How Volume Profile and the Falling Wedge Reveal Game-Changing Trades

Falling Wedge breakout technique

Why Most Traders Miss the Boat (And How You Can Avoid It)

Every trader has been there—staring at their chart, watching price action dance like an indecisive squirrel in the middle of the road. They think they see a pattern forming, but the confidence wavers. Enter the Volume Profile and the Falling Wedge, the dynamic duo that exposes the hidden footprints of smart money and offers high-probability trade setups.

But here’s the kicker: most traders don’t know how to use them together. They either misuse Volume Profile like an outdated GPS or ignore the Falling Wedge like a warning sign on a slippery road. Today, we’re changing that.

By the end of this guide, you’ll walk away with ninja-level tactics to spot hidden liquidity pools, predict market moves before they happen, and enter trades with sniper precision. Let’s get into it.

What’s Really Going On? Volume Profile Explained

Volume Profile isn’t just another lagging indicator cluttering your screen—it’s the X-ray vision that exposes where big players are stacking their orders. Unlike traditional volume indicators that show total volume over time, Volume Profile shows volume at price levels. Here’s why that matters:

  • High-Volume Nodes (HVN): These are price levels where a lot of business has happened—expect support or resistance here.
  • Low-Volume Nodes (LVN): These act like slippery patches—price moves through them quickly.
  • Point of Control (POC): The price level with the highest volume—a key pivot area where decisions happen.

Pro Tip: A shift in POC can signal the next trending move before it even begins. If a new POC forms higher, bulls are in control. If it shifts lower, bears have the upper hand.

The Falling Wedge: The Market’s Coiled Spring

If the Volume Profile tells you where the action is, the Falling Wedge tells you when the breakout is imminent.

A Falling Wedge is a bullish reversal pattern characterized by a narrowing price range sloping downward. It traps impatient sellers before an explosive breakout. Here’s how to recognize it:

  1. Lower Highs & Lower Lows – The price is declining but at a decreasing pace.
  2. Converging Trendlines – The range gets tighter, squeezing price action.
  3. Decreasing Volume – Less volume indicates exhaustion.
  4. Breakout on High Volume – This confirms the move.

Think of it like a stretched rubber band—once it snaps, it moves fast.

Where the Magic Happens: Volume Profile + Falling Wedge

Individually, these tools are powerful. But combine them? Now you’ve got a lethal trading strategy that exposes hidden liquidity zones and confirms high-probability breakouts.

Step 1: Identify the Falling Wedge in Key Volume Areas

  • Look for a Falling Wedge pattern forming near a High-Volume Node (HVN) or at a Low-Volume Node (LVN) acting as support.
  • If price is at an HVN and forming a wedge, expect a bounce.
  • If it’s at an LVN, expect price to move quickly to the next HVN once it breaks out.

Step 2: Watch for Volume Confirmation

  • Volume should decline inside the wedge—this signals seller exhaustion.
  • When price breaks out, volume should surge—this confirms smart money is stepping in.

Step 3: Enter Like a Pro

  • Place a buy stop just above the wedge breakout.
  • Use the POC as a target or the next major HVN.
  • Place a stop-loss just below the last swing low inside the wedge.

Case Study: The EUR/USD Falling Wedge + Volume Profile Setup

Let’s look at a real-world example from early 2024 when EUR/USD formed a textbook Falling Wedge near a key volume cluster.

  • Step 1: A Falling Wedge appeared at a major High-Volume Node on the daily chart.
  • Step 2: Volume inside the wedge was declining, signaling exhaustion.
  • Step 3: The breakout happened on surging volume—a classic confirmation.
  • Result: The pair rallied over 250 pips in just a few days.

Moral of the story? Smart traders don’t predict— they prepare.

Final Thoughts: Mastering This Power Combo

If you’ve been trading without Volume Profile and the Falling Wedge, you’ve been missing a huge piece of the puzzle. Together, they expose where price is likely to move and when the big players are stepping in.

To sharpen your edge even further, check out these game-changing tools:

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Image Credits: Cover image at the top is AI-generated

PLEASE NOTE: This is not trading advice. It is educational content. Markets are influenced by numerous factors, and their reactions can vary each time.

Anne Durrell & Mo

About the Author

Anne Durrell (aka Anne Abouzeid), a former teacher, has a unique talent for transforming complex Forex concepts into something easy, accessible, and even fun. With a blend of humor and in-depth market insight, Anne makes learning about Forex both enlightening and entertaining. She began her trading journey alongside her husband, Mohamed Abouzeid, and they have now been trading full-time for over 12 years.

Anne loves writing and sharing her expertise. For those new to trading, she provides a variety of free forex courses on StarseedFX. If you enjoy the content and want to support her work, consider joining The StarseedFX Community, where you will get daily market insights and trading alerts.

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