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Contraction Phase Meets Three White Soldiers: A Hidden Trading Goldmine

 

Contraction phase trading strategy

If you’ve ever tried to assemble IKEA furniture without the instructions, you know what trading during a market contraction phase can feel like. You’re trying to fit the pieces together, you’re squinting at the diagrams (except in trading, there aren’t any), and the only thing you know for sure is that there are missing screws. But guess what? Just as you think all hope is lost, three white soldiers show up—no, not with a toolkit—but as a bullish candlestick pattern that can flip your fortunes. Intrigued? Let’s dive into the lesser-known details of trading the contraction phase and the Three White Soldiers pattern to give you an edge that most traders don’t even know exists.

The Contraction Phase: What It Is and Why It Matters

Think of the contraction phase like the lull before the storm. Markets, much like people, need time to take a breather. The contraction phase is when market volatility drops, prices consolidate, and traders lose their patience—often, a rookie mistake. Just like when you go to the gym, the time between those intense sets—that’s where real growth happens. The contraction phase is where price builds momentum before an explosive move.

Now, how do you know you’re in a contraction phase? Picture it as your in-laws visiting: there’s tension, quiet whispers, and you’re not quite sure what’s going to happen next. During this phase, prices tighten into a narrow range, with fewer dramatic swings—indicating that the market’s about to either hibernate further or throw a serious party. This is where we keep our eyes open for our cavalry, the Three White Soldiers.

The Three White Soldiers: Not Your Average Chart Pattern

If you haven’t heard of the Three White Soldiers pattern, imagine a hero’s entry scene in an action movie—it’s all calm and quiet, and suddenly three heroes kick the door down, and everything changes. The Three White Soldiers consist of three consecutive long bullish candles, each opening within the previous candle’s real body and closing progressively higher.

This pattern is a potent sign that the bulls have stormed in, taking over after a period of bearish or neutral sentiment. It’s like seeing someone finally crack a smile after holding a straight face all day—you know something’s shifted. This shift is significant because it often leads to sustained upward momentum, providing you with an opportunity to enter the market with the wind at your back.

The Secret Sauce: Combining Contraction and Three White Soldiers

Here’s where we put the magic together. The contraction phase primes the market, squeezing out weak hands and making traders go stir-crazy waiting for a break—the Three White Soldiers are the sign that the bulls are ready to march. This isn’t just your average buy signal; it’s a sign that the market has finished taking a breath and is ready for its next big move.

  • Look for Divergence: In a contraction phase, most traders are cautious—too cautious. When you see Three White Soldiers appear in this context, it’s time to be bold. Market sentiment is shifting from caution to optimism, and the contraction phase provides a coiled spring for the next move. As soon as the third soldier stands tall, it’s often a confirmation that the tide has turned, and it’s time to jump in.
  • Risk Management Ninja Moves: Of course, trading isn’t without risk. Three White Soldiers can seem too good to be true—and sometimes they are. Use tight stops just below the base of the first soldier. This is like going out with an umbrella on a sunny day: you probably won’t need it, but if a storm rolls in, you’ll be happy you planned ahead.

The Forgotten Insight Most Traders Overlook

A lot of traders know about Three White Soldiers, but few understand the power of pairing it with contraction phases. The contraction isn’t just a coincidence—it’s a set-up. During contraction, many traders get frustrated with the lack of movement and either quit or get sloppy. By identifying this buildup, you position yourself to act decisively when the market finally shows its hand. It’s like when everyone leaves a boring party, and just as you’re about to go, someone brings out karaoke—you’ve suddenly got the floor to yourself.

Case Study: Three White Soldiers & Contraction in Action

Take the 2022 EUR/USD daily chart, for example. During a contraction phase in late June, price was boxed in, and traders were pulling their hair out, waiting for a breakout. Then, in the first week of July, bam – three large white candles appeared in succession, breaking above the resistance zone. Traders who understood the contraction context knew this was the beginning of a bullish breakout, and those who waited for confirmation made solid gains.

According to Peter Brandt, a seasoned trader, “The contraction phase sets the tone for a market’s next significant move. When you couple that with a pattern like the Three White Soldiers, it’s often a high-probability setup.” Combining patience during the contraction with conviction when Three White Soldiers show up can be a game-changer.

Breaking the Rules: Contrarian Opportunities

Now, here’s a cheeky contrarian twist—not every Three White Soldiers pattern is a buy opportunity. If you spot the soldiers but notice that the market’s in an overbought condition, or fundamental news contradicts the bullish move, you might consider fading the pattern. Imagine the Three White Soldiers are showing up to a party that’s already over—you might want to start looking for the exit. The key here is to read the entire market context and not just blindly follow the pattern.

How to Predict Market Moves with Precision

The precision comes from understanding the why behind the pattern. Three White Soldiers work best in scenarios where there’s been an emotional build-up—like a contraction phase that drives traders into a corner. Once the pattern appears, it’s often followed by momentum as traders react to the breakout. Your job is to get in while the breakout is fresh and use momentum to your advantage.

  • Early Entry vs. Confirmation Entry: The choice between getting in early or waiting for confirmation is a tough one, but here’s the ninja trick: watch volume. During contraction, volume decreases, but when Three White Soldiers appear, volume should spike—that’s your cue. Volume validates price, and you don’t want to be the only one partying when the music stops.

The One Simple Trick to Level-Up Your Trading

The real secret here? Patience. The contraction phase is a test of patience, and the Three White Soldiers are your reward. Many traders fail because they chase excitement—they want to be in trades constantly. The key to mastering the contraction phase and the Three White Soldiers pattern is understanding that the best trades are like waiting for the perfect wave to surf. If you paddle too early or too late, you’ll miss it. But if you wait, poised, and ready, you’ll ride that wave like a pro.

Wrapping Up: March With the Soldiers, Wisely

The contraction phase and Three White Soldiers are a dynamic duo that can give you a strategic edge in trading. It’s about combining patience with decisive action—understanding that the lull sets the stage for the breakout. Keep your eyes open for the buildup, and when the soldiers march, don’t hesitate. But remember, even soldiers can get tired, so always protect yourself with smart risk management and a bit of skepticism.

And if you want to learn more about trading setups like this one, or get access to our Smart Trading Tools that can help you automate key parts of your trading plan, check out StarseedFX for the latest insights and resources.

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Image Credits: Cover image at the top is AI-generated

PLEASE NOTE: This is not trading advice. It is educational content. Markets are influenced by numerous factors, and their reactions can vary each time.

Anne Durrell & Mo

About the Author

Anne Durrell (aka Anne Abouzeid), a former teacher, has a unique talent for transforming complex Forex concepts into something easy, accessible, and even fun. With a blend of humor and in-depth market insight, Anne makes learning about Forex both enlightening and entertaining. She began her trading journey alongside her husband, Mohamed Abouzeid, and they have now been trading full-time for over 12 years.

Anne loves writing and sharing her expertise. For those new to trading, she provides a variety of free forex courses on StarseedFX. If you enjoy the content and want to support her work, consider joining The StarseedFX Community, where you will get daily market insights and trading alerts.

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