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The Ultimate Forex Secret: How the Inverse Head and Shoulders + TWAP Combo Can Change Your Trading Game

TWAP trading technique for Forex

Most Traders Miss This Pattern—Here’s How to Profit Like a Pro

Imagine you’re at a flea market, and you spot a vintage Rolex at a dirt-cheap price. Your gut tells you it’s a steal, but hesitation kicks in. A few hours later, you come back—only to find someone else snatched it up. That’s what missing an Inverse Head and Shoulders pattern feels like in Forex trading.

But don’t worry—I’m about to show you how to not only spot this pattern before the crowd but also how to pair it with TWAP (Time-Weighted Average Price) for some next-level trade entries.

Let’s dive into the little-known ways to profit from market reversals with sniper-like precision.

What is the Inverse Head and Shoulders Pattern?

Before we get fancy, let’s break it down. The Inverse Head and Shoulders (IHS) pattern is a classic reversal signal that screams: “Hey, the downtrend is over—it’s time to go long!” It’s basically the bullish twin of the standard Head and Shoulders pattern.

How to Identify an IHS Pattern

Here’s what to look for:

  • Left Shoulder: A swing low in a downtrend, followed by a minor recovery.
  • Head: A lower low (the deepest point), but the price quickly rebounds.
  • Right Shoulder: A higher low, showing the bears are running out of steam.
  • Neckline: A resistance level connecting the highs between the shoulders. A break above confirms the reversal.

Pro Tip: The steeper the neckline breakout, the stronger the trend shift.

Why Most Traders Fail with the Inverse Head and Shoulders

Let’s be honest—many traders jump in too soon, mistaking every minor bounce for an IHS. That’s like thinking every Tinder match is your soulmate. Here’s where traders go wrong:

Entering Before Confirmation: Jumping in before the neckline breaks is like trying to drive a car before starting the engine.

Ignoring Volume: If volume doesn’t spike on the breakout, the move could be weak.

Using Random Stop Losses: Setting stops too tight will get you stopped out before the real move happens.

So, how do you confirm the IHS trade with confidence? That’s where TWAP comes in.

TWAP: The Institutional Trader’s Secret Weapon

TWAP (Time-Weighted Average Price) is the go-to tool for hedge funds and banks to smooth out trade execution and avoid price slippage.

Why TWAP Works in Forex Trading

Most traders rely on moving averages or RSI, but TWAP gives you an insider look at where smart money is accumulating positions.

Here’s why it’s game-changing:

  • ???? Avoids Bad Entries: TWAP helps confirm whether the IHS breakout is actually strong.
  • ???? Institutional Tracking: If price stays above TWAP after the breakout, big players are buying.
  • ???? Eliminates FOMO: TWAP allows for calculated pullback entries instead of impulsive buys.

The Perfect IHS + TWAP Trading Strategy

Now that you know both concepts, let’s put them together for high-probability trades.

Step-by-Step Guide to Trading IHS with TWAP

1️⃣ Identify the IHS pattern: Spot the left shoulder, head, and right shoulder.

2️⃣ Wait for the neckline breakout: Don’t enter prematurely—confirm with volume.

3️⃣ Check TWAP positioning: If price stays above TWAP after the breakout, it’s a bullish confirmation.

4️⃣ Enter on a pullback to TWAP: Instead of chasing price, wait for a retracement to TWAP.

5️⃣ Set a strategic stop-loss: Place it just below the right shoulder for risk control.

6️⃣ Ride the momentum: Take profits at previous resistance levels or based on Fibonacci extensions.

Real-World Example: EUR/USD IHS Breakout Using TWAP

In early 2024, EUR/USD formed a textbook Inverse Head and Shoulders pattern on the 4-hour chart. Most traders entered blindly on the breakout, but institutions used TWAP to refine their entries.

TWAP Confirmation:

✅ Price pulled back to TWAP after the breakout, confirming strong buying interest.

✅ TWAP held as support, signaling an optimal long entry.

✅ The pair rallied 120 pips in 48 hours, hitting key resistance.

This approach saved traders from entering at the peak and instead allowed for an optimized, risk-reward trade.

Key Takeaways for Traders Who Want an Edge

The Inverse Head and Shoulders is a powerful reversal pattern, but confirmation is key.

TWAP filters out false breakouts, helping you enter with precision.

Smart traders wait for pullbacks to TWAP instead of chasing breakouts.

Combining these two strategies can drastically improve your win rate and risk management.

Take Your Trading to the Next Level

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Image Credits: Cover image at the top is AI-generated

PLEASE NOTE: This is not trading advice. It is educational content. Markets are influenced by numerous factors, and their reactions can vary each time.

Anne Durrell & Mo

About the Author

Anne Durrell (aka Anne Abouzeid), a former teacher, has a unique talent for transforming complex Forex concepts into something easy, accessible, and even fun. With a blend of humor and in-depth market insight, Anne makes learning about Forex both enlightening and entertaining. She began her trading journey alongside her husband, Mohamed Abouzeid, and they have now been trading full-time for over 12 years.

Anne loves writing and sharing her expertise. For those new to trading, she provides a variety of free forex courses on StarseedFX. If you enjoy the content and want to support her work, consider joining The StarseedFX Community, where you will get daily market insights and trading alerts.

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