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The Triple Bottom Play: How Interest Rate Announcements Can Supercharge Your Forex Strategy

How to Trade the Triple Bottom with Rate Hikes

The Hidden Pattern Traders Ignore—Until It’s Too Late

Ever feel like the market is playing a cruel joke on you? You spot a solid trend, place your trade, and just as you’re about to count your pips, BAM—the price reverses like a soap opera twist. If this sounds familiar, you’re not alone. But what if I told you there’s a hidden pattern—one that most traders overlook—that could give you a serious edge?

Enter the Triple Bottom, a price action pattern that signals a potential bullish reversal. Now, before you roll your eyes and think, “Great, another textbook pattern that works just as well as my gym membership in January,” hear me out. When combined with interest rate announcements, the triple bottom becomes a powerful tool that could make the difference between a missed opportunity and a profitable trade.

Why Interest Rate Announcements Matter More Than You Think

Let’s get real: central banks don’t make interest rate decisions on a whim. These decisions are fueled by economic data, inflation trends, and employment rates. But here’s the kicker—the market doesn’t just react to the rate itself, but to the expectations surrounding it.

For instance, if traders anticipate a rate hike but the central bank keeps rates unchanged, the market could tumble in disappointment. On the flip side, an unexpected hike could send a currency soaring. But where does the triple bottom fit into all this? Let’s break it down.

The Triple Bottom & Interest Rate Combo: A Winning Strategy

Think of the triple bottom as the market’s way of saying, “I’ve had enough of this downtrend.” It forms when price tests the same support level three times, failing to break lower. This shows that buyers are stepping in, absorbing sell orders, and gearing up for a reversal. Now, imagine this pattern forming just before an interest rate announcement.

Here’s how you can capitalize on this setup:

  1. Identify a Strong Support Zone – Look for a clear triple bottom formation on the chart. The support level should be well-respected, with wicks rejecting lower prices multiple times.
  2. Check the Economic Calendar – Is an interest rate decision coming up? If so, brace yourself. Market volatility is about to spike.
  3. Gauge Market Sentiment – If traders expect a rate hike but a triple bottom is forming, this could be a sign that smart money is positioning itself early.
  4. Wait for Confirmation – A bullish breakout above the neckline of the pattern post-announcement can confirm the reversal.
  5. Enter Smart, Exit Smarter – Place your entry above the breakout level, set a stop-loss below the pattern, and ride the momentum.

Why Most Traders Get It Wrong (And How You Can Avoid Their Mistakes)

Most traders see a triple bottom and blindly jump in, expecting an immediate reversal. But price action alone isn’t enough—you need a catalyst, and interest rate announcements provide just that.

Here’s what not to do:

  • Ignoring Market Context – If global sentiment is bearish, a triple bottom alone won’t save you.
  • Trading Too Early – Wait for the actual interest rate release before pulling the trigger.
  • Ignoring Risk Management – Volatility can be brutal. Always use a stop-loss to protect your capital.

The Secret Sauce: Combining Technicals with Fundamentals

Most retail traders focus on either technicals or fundamentals. But why not use both? Smart money does.

Example Case Study: EUR/USD During the Fed’s Surprise Hike

In March 2023, the Fed unexpectedly raised rates by 50bps. Leading up to the decision, EUR/USD had been forming a triple bottom near 1.0500. The announcement triggered a bullish breakout, sending the pair soaring to 1.0800 within days. Traders who combined technical analysis with macroeconomic insights walked away with massive profits.

Key Takeaways: What You Should Do Right Now

The Forex market doesn’t reward those who follow the herd—it rewards those who see what others don’t. Now that you know how to use interest rate announcements and the triple bottom like a pro, it’s time to step up your game. Ready to trade smarter? Let’s go.

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Image Credits: Cover image at the top is AI-generated

PLEASE NOTE: This is not trading advice. It is educational content. Markets are influenced by numerous factors, and their reactions can vary each time.

Anne Durrell & Mo

About the Author

Anne Durrell (aka Anne Abouzeid), a former teacher, has a unique talent for transforming complex Forex concepts into something easy, accessible, and even fun. With a blend of humor and in-depth market insight, Anne makes learning about Forex both enlightening and entertaining. She began her trading journey alongside her husband, Mohamed Abouzeid, and they have now been trading full-time for over 12 years.

Anne loves writing and sharing her expertise. For those new to trading, she provides a variety of free forex courses on StarseedFX. If you enjoy the content and want to support her work, consider joining The StarseedFX Community, where you will get daily market insights and trading alerts.

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